簽到天數: 3413 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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king111807|2025-12-31 14:05
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JTWC降格TS,發布FW
WTXS31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (HAYLEY) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (HAYLEY) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
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WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 16.8S 124.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 124.3E
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FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 16.8S 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 08 KTS
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24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 16.4S 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
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REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 16.8S 124.8E.
30DEC25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (HAYLEY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 137
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WITH A COMPACT CORE
OF DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). CLOUD TOPS HAVE QUICKLY WARMED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS,
INDICATIVE OF A WEAKENING SYSTEM. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM BROOME
SHOWED THE LLCC MAKING LANDFALL AT AROUND 301500Z. 10S IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY EASTWARD AND RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
REGARDING BOTH TRACK AND INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD,
LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301800Z IS 987 MB. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S
(GRANT) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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